Thursday, October 15, 2009

URGENT: Tea Party Conservative Doug Hoffman surges in latest NY23 poll

New poll numbers in the Nov. 3 special election:
Bill Owens (Democrat) . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Dede Scozzafava (RINO) . . . . . . . . 29%
Doug Hoffman (Conservative) . . . . 23%
This is a huge gain for Hoffman. The MSM are headlining the lead for Owens, but the more important point is Hoffman's momentum. He's gained 7 points in two weeks, while Scozzafava's lost 6. It shows how Scozzafava's support in this key three-way upstate New York congressional race has collapsed because of Hoffman's exposure of the RINO candidate's liberal voting record. The Hill reports:
Hoffman has surged in Oneida and Oswego, at the western end of the district. Hoffman takes 34 percent of the vote in one of the district's most populous areas, narrowly edging Owens by three points. Scozzafava, whose television advertising campaign has been far weaker than either Owens or Hoffman, trails with just 21 percent in those counties.
Press release from the Hoffman campaign:
"It's clear Dede Scozzafava is way too liberal for the 23rd CD. That's why she's dropping in the polls. Voters are seeing that the conservative Republican candidate, Doug Hoffman, will work to cut spending, cut taxes, and shrink the deficit and that's why he is surging in the poll. This poll was completed on Tuesday, just as our media buy was being ramped up. As more voters get to know Doug Hoffman, more voters will support Doug Hoffman. This is a race between two liberals and a conservative. Doug Hoffman is the conservative and that's why he will win."
As I reported yesterday, Hoffman says he has Scozzafava "on the run," and Red State is trying to raise more money to help push Hoffman over the top.

Hoffman is endorsed by the Club for Growth, the Susan B. Anthony List and other conservative groups. Perhaps more importantly, Hoffman's got the endorsement of the 9/12 Project, which gives him the conservative grassroots Tea Party volunteers to run a strong ground campaign, but he's got to have more campaign cash to keep running his hard-hitting TV campaign.

(Cross-posted at AmSpecBlog.)

UPDATE: Laughable MSM assertion that Republicans are "bitterly divided" over NY23 race:
The House GOP conference is bitterly divided over a centrist New York Republican’s run for the House seat vacated by Army Secretary John McHugh. . . .
Just 17 members — about 10 percent of the GOP conference — have written checks to Scozzafava’s campaign.
That's not "bitterly divided," that's a 90% rejection of Scozzafava, who isn't a "centrist," but an outright liberal, whose voting record is somewhere in the Olympia Snowe and Arlen Specter range.

Via Memeorandum. More from Erick Erickson at Red State.


  1. This is a huge battle for conservatives.
    I commented on this at length at:

    No conservative should vote for ANYONE who has taken dirty money from the axis of corruption; ACORN/SEIU/WFP.

  2. One other point.
    Hoffman should now concentrate on Owens. If the media start asking about Scozzafava he should say something on the order of:
    "If the people want a Democrat they can vote for Owens, not the me-too variety"

  3. The RNC is not serious. They think they are going to get seats back by default by sending in more liberals like Snowe and Collins and Voinavich. I could never vote for clowns like that. The RNC better stratien up or we are going to have four MORE years of dem control and Obama. I will not vote for these 'centrist republican' liberals. I voted for McCain but that is the last RINO I am ever voting for. I knew McCain could not win because he is too far left. These big spenders better get with the conservative message or Republicans aren't going to have a party. There will be no party without conservative leadership. No More RINOs.

  4. I agree. The RNC learned NOTHING from their mistake with McCain.

    I don't suppose there's any chance Scozzafava would throw her votes to Hoffman?

    It doesn't sound to me like she ever wanted to win, anyway.

  5. Has any one come up with a list for 2010/2012 of conservatives to run against the liberals and rhinos? I would like to make a donation to the opposition. VOTE EM ALL OUT!! This is what we need to focus on NOW!! Work hard, work smart!!

  6. I am sort of on the fence on the issue of electing some RINOs. Recruiting conservatives and centrists is what made Nancy Pelosi Speaker of the House. I am sure Pelosi and Heath Schuler agree on very little but it doesn't matter because of the power she has gained. Would I be willing to tolerate a few RINOs in Congress to make John Boehner Speaker of the House and sent Pelosi packing? You bet your ass I would. I understand this situation is different because Hoffman is a viable conservative candidate but in other places we may have no choice but to accept a RINO or face the reality of never controlling again.

  7. And what about the blatant hypocrisy of Conservatives? In 2006, Tom DeLay unexpectedly resigned his seat, which left the Republicans without a candidate on the ballot.

    The Libertarian Party had a fine candidate in Bob Smither, a conservative local crime fighter hero, who pledged to "Caucus with Republicans," if elected.

    Despite enormous pleas and begging from local libertarian Republicans, the Houston/Ft. Bend County GOPs decided to run a ridiculous write-in campaign for Shelly Sekula-Gibbs.

    Of course, it was predictable. Democrat Nick Lampson clobbered her. Smither still ended up getting 6%. He could've won, if it were not for the stubborness of Conservatives locally AND nationally (numerous appeals were made to Erick Erickson and RedState to no avail.)

    And now the Conservatives want moderate and libertarian Republicans to back their 3rd party Conservative candidate?

    I'd probably otherwise support Hoffman over Scazzofava were it not for the hypocrisy on 3rd parties by Conservatives - okay to back a Conservative, but not a Libertarian.

    Eric Dondero, Publisher
    Libertarian Republican