Chris Christie (R) 46%
Jon Corzine (D) 39%
Steve Lonegan (R) 43%
Jon Corzine (D) 40%
(Research 2000 via Taegan Goddard.) Corzine is in a world of hurt. Any time the incumbent is below 50%, that's trouble. If the challenger ever gets over 50%, the incumbent can kiss it good-bye.
This might be the first step in a GOP comeback. I keep telling these idiot "big picture" pundits that there is no such thing as a political "trend" apart from individual elections, individual candidates, and individual policies. Or to quote the Gipper:
"I do not believe in a fate that will fall on us no matter what we do. I believe in a fate that will fall on us if we do nothing."If any of the readers live in the Jersey area and can fill me in on what specific issues are hurting Corzine, please put the links in the comments. I'd also like to know more about the two Republican candidates. The latest Rasmussen poll shows Christie beating Longegan in the primary next week, but only by about 11 points, and there are still a lot of undecided voters.