Sunday, July 13, 2008

Obama's bounceless summer

UPDATED & BUMPED: Today's Gallup daily tracking poll has Obama by three, 46-43%:
Today marks the 14th straight Gallup Poll Daily tracking report in which 46% to 48% of voters favor Obama, and between 42% and 44% favor McCain. This narrow zone has given Obama a continuous, but fairly slim, lead over the two-week period.
Meanwhile, Rasmussen's daily tracking poll reports a 43-43% tie for the second straight day.

PREVIOUSLY: Despite adulatory press coverage, Barack Obama's support still hovers in the 40s. The latest Gallup daily tracking poll has him up 47-43%:
The current figures, based on July 9-11 polling, exactly match the averages for each candidate over the past two weeks of Gallup Poll Daily tracking. During this time, Obama's support has ranged between 46% and 48% in each three-day rolling average, while McCain's has registered between 42% and 44%.
Chris Matthews Syndrome is not yet a pandemic.

1 comment:

  1. Which suggests that he has an absolute ceiling of support hovering around 45%.

    This benefits McCain who has the ability to eat into Democrat voters (though, ironically, not likely to grow any more on the GOP side). But it mostly benefits Barr, whose support can grow from both camps.