Tuesday, July 1, 2008

Democrat poll: Obama +4%

Carville/Greenburg's Democracy Corps poll has the race at Obama 48%, McCain 44%.

Yes, but what does it mean, Mr. Pundit Man?

What it means, dear readers, is that the Newsweek and LA Times polls, both of which showed Obama leading by double digits, were totally wack. They were propaganda, not polls, intended to lend an aura of inevitability to Obama, thus pushing a "bandwagon effect" in his favor.

All other national polls in the past two weeks, including the Gallup and Rasmussen tracking polls, show Obama leading in the range of 4%-6%. That's a genuine lead, but just barely outside the margin of error. Going into the 4th of July weekend, we're looking at a dead heat.


  1. I know the answer, but I can't help asking, 'why isn't this on any mainstream radar?'.


  2. And that's with a 9% skew in favor of Dems (when you include leaners).