Poll Watch update

UPDATED & BUMPED:
Gallup TIED: McCain 44%, Obama 44%

Obama was up by 6 just two days ago. Gallup says the shift is "due more to movement away from Obama than toward McCain. . . . This could to some degree reflect Obama's absence from the campaign trail while he vacations in Hawaii."

PREVIOUSLY:
The daily tracking polls lately have had more ups and downs than Rielle Hunter in John Edwards' hotel room.

Rasmussen today finds Barack Obama 2 points ahead of John McCain, 47%-45% ("leaners" included). And to show you what kind of idiots the Democratic Party attracts, 24% of Democrats say they still think it's possible Hillary Clinton could win the nomination.

Will update later with the Gallup numbers and such other new poll data as I can manage to corner in the men's restroom of the Beverly Hilton.